Cold Core Tornado Cases
Associated with Closed Upper Lows

    Jonathan D. Finch

 
             *Note: In a few instances, data from the Oklahoma Mesonet and Kansas Weather Data Library were used.*
Kansas Mesonet, 2014: Kansas Mesonet Historical Data. Accessed 5 December 2019, http://mesonet.k-state.edu/weather/historical
Also note that some data used on the
primary case study web site were provided by the Oklahoma Mesonet, CoAgmet and High Plains Regional Climate Center
For the Oklahoma mesonet, see the citation at the end of the page

In previous research, Jon Davies (2004),  (2006) and Jared Guyer and Jon Davies (2010) defined a cold core severe storm environment as one occurring within 200 miles of the center of a closed low at 500mb.
Some of their schematics and relevant statistics are summed here from Guyer and Davies 2010.

In the present work, historical cases of tornadoes in cold core environments were studied, with emphasis on central and western Kansas. Three different regimes were isolated, namely: tornadoes occurring north of an upper low, tornadoes occurring east or northeast of an upper low along a warm front occlusion, or tornadoes forming along a cold front occlusion. These are compared to the traditional warm sector dry line environment in the following schematics. Below are a list of tornado cases with cold core systems, along with the meteorological details and event maps. 

References

Davies, J. M.:  Tornadoes with Cold Core 500-mb Lows, Weather and Forecasting 21 (6), December 2006
Davies, J. M., 1993: Small tornadic supercells in the central plains. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 305-309.
Boustead J.M. Synoptic Case Study of the Central Plains Mini-Supercells on 29 October 2000
Jonathan M. Davies, Wichita, KS; and J. L. Guyer  22nd Conference on Severe Local Storms
J. L. Guyer and Jonathan M. Davies, 2010:  Environment Characteristics associated with Tornado events near closed cold core 500mb lows
McDonald, M., 2000: Cold core tornadoes: A forecasting technique. Internal report, Prairie Storm Prediction Centre, Environment Canada, 7 pp.
Miller, R. C., 1972: Notes on analysis and severe-storm forecasting procedures of the Air Force Global Weather Central, AWS Tech. Rep. 200 (rev.), Air Weather Service, Scott AFB, IL, 190 pp.

Here are some schematics I have developed based on the case studies below. This work is preliminary and incomplete.

Traditional Warm Sector Setup
Tornadoes north of an upper low
Tornadoes generally east of an upper low near cold front occlusion or on the occlusion
Tornadoes along warm front or warm front occlusion


A list of things to look for based on work by Davies/Guyer and the case studies below:


DateSurface500mbSFC/500mbAssortmentH7TH5TLifted Index (H7/H5)PhotosStorm
Data
Map of EventsDescription


1955 Apr 1220Z15Z11  03Z12  15Z12   03Z13  -3-24-5/-9MapSeveral smaller tornadoes followed by a larger tornado west of Jetmore
1960 Feb 2021Z19   03Z20   07Z20   15Z20   20Z   21Z12Z 19   00Z20   12Z20   00Z21mod. sounding-10-29-4/-4Tornadoes skipped ESE  from 15 miles SW of Watonga to near Okarche. 1.75" hail NW OKC
1961 May 1321Z00Z13  12Z13   00Z14   2-18Map   Tornadoes around Lamar, CO.
1965 Mar 1612Z   15Z   18Z   20Z   22Z00Z17-3-24-5/-9Map    MapTornadoes southwest and west of Garden City. Another tornado 45 miles NW of GCK and near Lamar
1971 Feb 1809Z  12Z  15Z  18Z  20Z00Z18   12Z18    00Z19-4-21MapA storm generated several tornadoes from near Sublette to 15 miles northeast of Kalvesta. Another tornado occurred near Ulysses.
1972 Apr 2620Z0-21Tornado moved northeast at 10 mph about 7 miles NNE of Meade at 245 pm. Tornado reported 12 NE of Meade at 3 pm
1973 Apr 1916Z-2-21MapTornadoes in north central Kansas
1973 May 621Z12Z5   00Z6   12Z6   00Z70-20MapMoves southwest from 8 miles SSW of Burlington. Five injured, 1 critically.
1976 Mar 1121Z-4-22Tornado in southwestern Nebraska
1979 Apr 1022Z00Z11-2-19Tornado in Hays. Man and wife injured when mobile home overturned. Moved NNE and touched down a few times in the southeast part of Hays.
1979 Apr 1119Z-5-24-4/-5Tornado 11 miles N of Levant in open country.  Barn unroofed near Lebanon in Red Willow county NE and tornado in Buffalo county NE
1984 Apr 221Z12Z1  00Z2   12Z2   00Z3-6-26Tornadoes at Rusell KS and south central KS
1987 May 321Z12Z3    00Z421Z1-17MapF2 tornado at Satanta, KS in Haskell county that moved southwest.
1988 May 216Z   21Z12Z1   00Z2   12Z2   00Z315Z-2-21MapTornadoes  4.5 West and 2.5 North of Tribune destroyed outbuildings. Other tornadoes near Scott City and 10 south of Scott City.
1991 Apr 212Z1   00Z2   12Z2   00Z3
1992 Jan 721Z21Z-7-25MapSeveral tornadoes across southern Nebraska including F1 and F2.
2000 Mar 2321Z21Z-3-20Several tornadoes across southwestern Kansas
2000 May 1712Z  16Z 17Z 18Z 20Z00Z18Large tornado near Brady, NE
2005 Mar 2119Z18Z-4-21Tornado 130 pm 2 SE of Protection, KS and 313 pm near Byron, OK.  Google search for video of Bryon tornado and search "Tornado Seen From Protection, Kansas, 21 Mar 2005"
2006 Oct 26 20Z21Z-4-20WriteupA narrow corridor of  heating occurred just N of boundary that is not reflected in the surface obs
2008 Nov 1019Z  21Z21Z-3-22photoA narrow CAPE axis is pinched off, but not before a tornado occurrs in Stanton county
2009 Apr 1818Z-5-24-6/-7Impressive supercell  tornado in Finney county KS--for video google "Kansas tornadoes April 18, 2009"
2010 Mar 823Z00Z9-3-22photosTornadoes in western Oklahoma
2011 Jun 2018Z18Z   18Z18Z   18Z  18Z App
The location of the tornado near Quinter, KS is denoted in the 500mb/surface feature map by a J.
2014 Dec 1422Z-3-21WriteupTornadoes in Harper county KS
2015 May 900Z10-19Tornadoes in eastern Colorado
2019 May 2121Z0-18WriteupSignificant tornadoes in central and  northeastern Kansas

Oklahoma mesonet data were occasionally used on this page and on other pages under the main case study page.

McPherson, R. A., C. Fiebrich, K. C. Crawford, R. L. Elliott, J. R. Kilby, D. L. Grimsley, J. E. Martinez, J. B. Basara, B. G. Illston, D. A. Morris, K. A. Kloesel, S. J. Stadler, A. D. Melvin, A.J. Sutherland, and H. Shrivastava, 2007: Statewide monitoring of the mesoscale environment: A technical update on the Oklahoma Mesonet. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 24, 301–321. (link to article)

Brock, F. V., K. C. Crawford, R. L. Elliott, G. W. Cuperus, S. J. Stadler, H. L. Johnson, and M. D. Eilts, 1995: The Oklahoma Mesonet: A technical overview. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 12, 5-19. (link to article)