May 22 2008 Tornado Outbreak                                                                        
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Jonathan D. Finch

Related items of interest                                                                                                        

Historical Tornado Cases for the Cheyenne Warning Area

Detailed Tornado Cases for the Cheyenne Warning Area      

Historical Tornado Cases for the Boulder Warning Area

Historical Tornado Cases for the United States

Elevated Mixed Layer

Elevated Heating


Overview of Events


                        On May 22-23 2008, a favorable pattern for severe thunderstorms developed for the high plains, front range and eastern
                        slopes of the Rockies. Slow moving meridional troughs have historically provided some of the more notable severe weather
                        outbreaks for this region. A few examples include May 10-11 1991, April 23 1960, June 14-17  1965, April 21 1957,
                        June 18  1975, October 17  1971, June 3 1971, and March 28  2007.                          

                        This severe weather episode was well forecasted by the ECMWF model. This model indicated that a deep, slow moving,
                        meridional trough would approach the high plains on May 22-23. It also predicted a deep trough over New England, with
                        an associated surface front behind this system through the lower midwest  into northeast Kansas, southwest Nebraska
                        and eastern Wyoming. The ECMWF did an excellent job with these features well in advance. The 144 hr ECMWF
                        showed a stationary front through northern Kansas and southern Nebraska, with strong upslope flow across western
                        Nebraska and eastern Wyoming. On May 17, I expressed my thoughts about the severe weather pattern.

                        Towering cumulus clouds developed southeast of Denver International Airport around 16 UTC on May 22. A 
                        thunderstorm was noted by 1630 UTC north of the airport. This storm was producing large hail by 1650 UTC just west
                        of Hudson, CO. It is well known that thunderstorms tend to develop along the front range earlier than on the low plains.
                        This is because capping tends to be weaker, and lower moisture content of the air allows for a rapid warmup to the
                        convective temperature by local noon. But convection began well before local noon on this day. The first tornado report
                        was east of Platteville at 1720 UTC. This tornado became very large and damaging and continued for 34 miles to near
                        Wellington, CO through 1812 UTC. Very large hail up to baseball size occurred along and west of the tornado path.
                        The tornado moved generally to the north-northwest between 35 and 40 mph.                           

                        The storm weakened a little as it moved northwest of Wellington, CO, but then strengthened and accelerated as it passed
                        east of Virginia Dale. This storm produced a 2nd tornado between 1857 UTC and 1935 UTC. As already mentioned, there
                        may have been a break in the damage near Overlook Rd after 1922 UTC. This tornado was accompanied by quarter
                        to golfball sized hail. It is unclear whether the tornado that hit Laramie was a 3rd tornado from the same supercell or
                        whether the 2nd tornado continued into Laramie. My research which is outlined below indicates a break in the tornado
                        path northwest of Vedauwoo, WY. But this is subject to change as I am expecting information in the mail from the Laramie
                        fire department. The tornadic storm continued well northwest of Laramie. Radar indicated another possible tornado 7                        
                        miles north of Harper, WY at 2017 UTC. 

                        Since I have a strong interest in high elevation severe weather, and since this was a particularly rare and exceptional
                        tornado event on the elevated terrain, I decided to independently document the Wyoming part of the tornado outbreak.
                        This was accomplished using the internet white pages along with live maps.  But when I first started this task, I had
                        no names to work with. So I ordered a phone book for Cheyenne, WY called the Country Cowboy. I stated with the
                        H's and after about 5 minutes I found the name Paul Hansellman on Ramshorn Road. Ramshorn road was close to the
                        tornado path. So I called Paul Hansellman. This immediately paid off as his house was unfortunately hit by the tornado.                       
                        He gaves me 2 other names and then those people referred me to others. So information piled up quickly.

                        The 1st and strongest Albany county tornado touched down about 0.4 miles east of the intersection of Albany, Larimer
                        and Laramie counties, or about 3/4 mile west of Harriman road along the state line(elevation 7450 ft) at 1857 UTC. Prior
                        to the tornado, dense fog shrouded the eastern slopes of the Laramie mountains, with visibilities almost zero at the Walno
                        residence near the tri-county border. Wylie Walno arrived home just  before the storm hit the area. He said that the
                        visibility suddenly jumped from near zero to unlimited as the storm passed to his north. He could see low-hanging clouds
                        pass by. Golfball sized hail also occurred at the Walno residence. The first signs of tornado damage occurred at the
                        residence of Richard Miller. Two trees on his property were downed and his garage door was bent. Half dollar sized
                        hail also occurred there. Immediately to the northwest, 20 ponderosa pines were downed on Hoover farm as the
                        tornado passed in between the house and a barn. Then, the tornado toppled 4 more trees on Belinda Scott's property.
                        A few trees were downed on Wylie Walno's property on the periphery of the tornado. The tornado was apparently fairly
                        small at this point.

                        Fairly extensive tree damage occurred just northwest of the initial touchdown location as the tornado widened. Peter
                        Hansen reported to me that the tornado downed trees for several miles on his property.  Tim Warfield told me that
                        there was extensive tree damage on his land. Alan Romero indicated that the extensive tree damage seemed to have
                        started about 1 to 1.5 miles south of Pumpkin Vine Road. This is about 2 miles northwest of the tri-county border of
                        Albany, Laramie and Larimer counties. Again, the tornado was fairly small before this point.

                        By 1904 UTC the tornado widened to over 1/4 mile and was climbing up the Laramie Ridge to 8000ft. Very old pines
                        that were 3 to 4 ft. im diameter were mowed down by the tornado. Jim Nowak, Jim Price and another person were
                        putting fish into Imson Pond in the dense fog with visibilities near 100ft. Quarter to ping-pong ball sized hail chased them
                        to their trucks. This is a good thing since they were then hit by the tornado. They described a frightening experience.
                        The tornado buffeted their vehicles. One truck contained a 1000 lb fish tank. This truck rocked back and forth by the
                        tornado and most of the windows were smashed out. Another truck was actually lifted off the ground and set back down,
                        with windows knocked out as well. The camper shell was broken off one of the trucks and flung 1/2 mile to the south.
                        Debris was flying everywhere during the tornado including picnic tables.  Large trees were downed on both sides of
                        the road near the pond. The tornado was located near Imson Pond around 1908 UTC.

                        After leaving the pond, the tornado hit on Ramshord Rd. Ted Lewis measured 153 mph winds on his Davis Monitor 2.
                        His house faired fairly well even though huge pines were blown down. A 12 ft aluminum boat was blown 500 yds. The
                        tornado then hit the Paul Hansellman house also on Ramshorn Rd. The front half of his roof was blown off, with pieces
                        of it found over 2 miles away. The back part of the roof was heavily damaged. The Hanselman house was well constructed
                        with concrete-filed styrafoam and was reinforced with steel rebar anchored to the foundation.

                        After leaving the Hansellman house, the tornado moved over very rural territory for several miles. But there was a                       
                        continuous damage path all the way northwest to Overlook Rd, with trees and fences downed all along the .6 to .9 mile
                        wide path according to Bob Adams who documented the tornado. Along this path the tornado climbed in elevation to
                        8500ft.

                        Major damage occurred on West Vedauwoo road. The Gayle Wilson house was destroyed by the tornado. The roof                        
                        was taken off  and the walls collapsed. 2X4's from her roof were embedded in the ground several feet. She told me that
                        was quite an accomplishment since the ground is so hard(gravel-like) that it is difficult to even dig a shovel into it. She
                        also reported that nails from her roof were embedded the wrong way into fence posts 500 yds. away.

                        Ping-pong to golfball sized hail occurred on Overlook Road and Howe Lane. A grove of pines was downed by the                        
                        tornado on Overlook Rd.

                        A tornado moved across I80 southeast of Laramie around 1928 UTC and then across the far eastern and northeastern
                        part of Laramie between 1930 and 1937 UTC. I am still in the process of gathering information about this part of the
                        tornado path from the Laramie fire department. F1 damage was done to buildings. The tornadic storm continued to the
                        north-northwest through central and northern Albany county. No tornado damage occurred, but this area is very rural.
                        Given the fog, it is possible that tornadoes went unreported.

                        The Harriman-Laramie tornado moved to the north-northwest at an aveage speed of 47 to 50 mph. The heading of the
                        tornado was 320 degrees at the beginning of the path and 330 degrees toward the end of the path. This was an
                        exceptionally fast moving tornado by Wyoming standards. Typically the mid level flow (600-400mb) over southeast
                        Wyoming is fairly weak in tornadic situations, hence strong right movement and slow storm motion (10 to 30 mph).
                        The fast storm motion on May 22 is more typical in the southeast United States in winter or early spring. Radar and
                        satellite loops will be presented on this page as soon as I get the WES case from the Cheyenne office with high
                        resolution radar data.

                        A small tornado apparently touched down 3 miles south of I-80 on Harriman Road a little later in the afternoon from
                        another storm. This tornado also moved northwest and downed trees in several locations. A barn was extensively damaged
                        on Crystal Lake Road, with the roof blown across the highway. Richard Harvey actually witnessed this tornado from his
                        house. Residents described this as a mini-tornado.

                        Another tornado apparently destroyed a barn 4 miles west of the tri-county border. Hail accumulated to a foot deep in this
                        area and took 3 days to melt.

                        A terrain map with all the tornado paths can be found here. A more zoomed in version with hail reported included can be
                        found  here. Another map with the Wyoming tornado paths can be found here. My most recent version of the primary
                        Wyoming tornado path was be found here. This has been refined based on information from Wylie Walno, Claire Hoover
                        and Richard Miller who all live along the Colorado state line.


Meteorological Discussion


                        A deep upper trough was digging into the intermountain west at 00 UTC May 22, 2008. 500mb winds of 100 kts on the
                        back side of this trough were indicative of a deepening system. The 500mb height in the center of the upper low was
                        550 dm over central UT. The surface chart at 00 UTC showed a surface front stretching from central LA into north TX
                        and then into northeast NM and eastern Colorado. Only marginal moisture was in place across western Kansas with surface
                        dewpoints in the 50-55F range. However, rich moisture in the Red River Valley of southern Oklahoma and north Texas
                        was poised to make a fast return.
                       
                        The 03, 06, 09 and 12 UTC surface charts show a strong surge of moisture through western Oklahoma western Kansas and
                        eventually eastern Colorado. By 03 UTC, 60-65F dewpoints were surging through northwest Oklahoma and into the eastern
                        Oklahoma panhandle. In fact by 06 UTC, 55-60F surface dewpoints were already surging into eastern Colorado. By 09
                        UTC, the dewpoint at Limon, CO was up to 58F, with 53-55F dewpoints along the front range of  northern Colorado.
                        Limon reported overcast skies at 1800ft, which indicates the low level moisture was at least 1800ft deep.

                        By 12 UTC the moist axis was located from southwest Kansas into eastern and northern Colorado and had shifted a little
                        to the northeast since 09 UTC. The 12 UTC 500mb chart indicated strong cooling since 00 UTC. The 500mb
                        temperature was down to -14C at Denver. The pacific cold front had already progressed through Albuquerque as seen on
                        the 700mb chart. The 700mb temperature was down to -1C at Albuquerque. Mid level cooling had obviously occurred
                        even ahead of the front across the plains and at Denver.

                        By 15UTC, the warm front had progressed into central CO and western Kansas. Rich moisture was in place across
                        the front range of northern CO with 54 and 55F dewpoints at Greeley and Akron respectively. The surface theta-e axis
                        extended from central Kansas into northwest Kanas to Woodrow and Greeley, CO. Strong upslope flow was occurring
                        and rich moisture was being transported into the Laramie Ridge and up the Laramie mountains. A surface dryline was
                        beginning to take shape from the western Panhandles to extreme eastern Colorado.

                        By 16 UTC, 55-56F dewpoints were noted as far west as Kersey and Boulder, CO, or just south and southwest of
                        Greeley.

                        Convective clouds began to develop just south of the Denver International Airport by 1620 UTC. This area of convection
                        developed into a thunderstorm by 1640 UTC just north of the airport.  The storm was severe by 1650 UTC just west of
                        Hudson, CO. The 17 UTC surface chart showed a T/TD of 70F/55F at Greeley, CO. Modifying the 18 UTC Denver
                        sounding with these values yields 2800 j/kg surface based CAPE.  The moist axis extended all the way northwest to Red
                        Feather Lakes and Crystal Lake, where the T/TD were 43F/43F at both stations. Interestingly, the theta-e values were
                        the same at these stations as Haigler, NE and Concordia, KS. T/TD values of 43F/43F at Crystal Lake and 47F/47F at
                        Harriman have almost the same theta-e as T/TD values of  72F/61F at Emporia, KS and 74F/61F at Chanute, KS. Table
                        3 shows temperature, dewpoint, mixing ratio, potential temperature and equivalent potential values for various sites
                        over the plains. This is done to demonstrate that T/Td values cannot be used without elevation to assess how "juiced up"
                        the surface layer is.
                       
                        Assuming saturation, what T/TD would be required at sea level to achieve the same theta-e as Harriman, WY?  Since the
                        T/TD were 47F/47F at Harriman, a T/TD of 66F/66F would be required at 1000mb to yield the same theta-e. Why is
                        this? To understand this, let's look at the potential temperature and mixing ratio's for both locations. For Harriman, the
                        potential temperature and mixing raio was 89F and 9.2 g/kg. At 1000mb, a location with T/TD of 66F/66F would have
                        a potential temperature of 66F and mixing ratio of  13.8 g/kg. Thus, the mixing ratio would be 50% lower at Harriman
                        than at the sea level location. However, the potential temperature would be 23F higher at Harriman. Thus the notion that
                        it was too cool on the Laramie Ridge on May 22, 2008 for severe storms is obviously misguided. In fact, it was warm
                        enough so that the level of free convection was near the ground. This is despite dense fog and actual temperatures 
                        from 44 to 48F. Thus before drawing conclusions about the severe weather environment, one should modify soundings
                        using actual surface observations. Sometimes this requires the use of mesonet data since surface observations are sparse.

                        Surface theta-e continued to increase from 17 to 18 to 19 UTC.  Tables 4 and 5 show temperature, dewpoint, mixing
                        ratio, potential temperature and equivalent potential values for various sites over the plains. Again, this is done to
                        demonstrate that T/Td values cannot be used without elevation to assess how "juiced up" the surface layer is.  In Table 5
                        the theta-e values between 330K and 335K are highlighted in red.

                        At 19 UTC, two mesonet observations and 1 cooperative observer location recorded hourly temperatures. The 
                        temperature was 47F at Harriman (756mb), 48.5F at the cooperative observer site 7 miles east-northeast of Virginia
                        Dale (767mb) and 48F at Lynch (762mb). These 3 observations lie along the same moist adiabat as one would expect
                        in moist upslope flow. So I have fairly high confidence in the accuracy of these measurements. Veta Mitchell, the
                        cooperative observer 7 miles east-northeast of Virginia Dale provided me with the hourly temperature measurements
                        for her location. The tornado actually first touched down about 2 miles north-northwest of her house. So the hourly
                        measurements that she collected are very useful in determining surface based CAPE.

                        Since visibilities were near zero before the storm, I am assuming that dewpoints were equal to the temperatures. I
                        constructed approximate soundings for these locations using the 18 UTC RUC initialization and 18 UTC Denver sounding.
                        Of course, the boundary layer had to be modified based on the surface observations. I modified using the 19 UTC
                        observations since these are just prior to the tornadic storm. Also, I suspect that the 1900 UTC observations are hourly         
                        averages from 1800 to 1900 UTC for stations like Harriman and Lynch.  The RUC soundings were more representative
                        than the NAM/WRF soundings. The nam soundings were superadiabatic near the surface and dry adiabatic above the
                        surface layer. This is not reasonable. The RUC soundings were closer to moist adiabatic from the surface to above 700mb.
                        The modified 18 UTC RUC soundings yielded similar CAPE values to the modified 18 UTC Denver soundings. It has
                        been determined that the surface based CAPE was 1000-1300 j/kg near the beginning of the tornado path where surface
                        measurements were available. The theta-e values at the theee locations were almost identical.

                        Table 1 and Table 2 below show the surface based CAPE values for Harriman, Virginia Dale and Lynch. Table 1 uses
                        the 18 UTC Denver sounding while Table 2 uses the 18 UTC RUC initialization. These are modifed using the
                        temperature readings from the 3 stations and assumes saturation (there was dense fog).
                       
Table 1
DEN 18 UTC modified Elev(ft) Pres.(mb) T(F) Td(F) MR(g/kg) theta(F) theta-e(K) CAPE(j/kg)
Harriman 7450 756 47 47 9.2 89 332.5 1190
Virginia Dale(7ene) 7000 1217
Lynch 7200


Table 2
RUC 18 UTC modified Elev(ft) Pres.(mb) T(F) Td(F) MR(g/kg) theta(F) theta-e(K) CAPE(j/kg)
Harriman 7450 756 47 46 9.2 89 332.5 1260
Virginia Dale(7ene) 7000
Lynch 7200




18 UTC Denver modified
19 UTC surface Elev(ft) Pres.(mb) T(F) Td(F) MR(g/kg) theta(F) theta-e(K) CAPE(j/kg)
Harriman 7450 1190
Virginia Dale(7ene) 7000
Lynch 7200
Crystal Lake 8620 724 43 43 8.2 92 331.6
Red Feather 8214 734 43 43 8.1 89.8 329.9
Estes Park 7700 745 53 46 8.9 98 337.5





Table 3
17 UTC Elev(ft) Pres.(mb) SLP(mb) T(F) Td(F) MR(g/kg) theta(F) theta-e(K)
Crystal Lake 8620 724 986 43 43 8.2 92 331.6
Red Feather 8214 734 985 43 43 8.1 89.8 329.9
Estes Park 7700 745 983 53 46 8.9 98 337.5
Harriman,WY 7450 756 987 47 47 9.2 89 332.5
Lynch,WY 7200 762 987 46 46 8.7 86.7 329.9
Virginia Dale 7 ENE
7000 767 988 47 47 9 86.9 330.8
Emkay,WY 6720 774 989 49 49 9.6 87.6 333.1
Cheyenne 6140 789 987.7 48 47 8.8 83.5 328
Nunn
5650 804 986 51 51 10 83.8 331.8
Wellington 5300 813 985 55 54 11.1 86.3 336.5
Briggsdale N 5039 827 991 54 52 10.1 82.6 331.3
Sterling 3900 866 57 54 10.4 78.7 329.6
Briggsdale S 4838 833 991 55 54 10.8 82.6 333.3
Greeley 4700 835 984 64 55 11.2 91.7 340.2
Akron 4700 841 990 56 56 11.5 82.1 335.1
Goodland 3700 870 990.7 69 60 12.9 90.4 344.5
MCcook 2800 911 995.2 59 53 9.5 73 323.6
Haigler 3291 883 60 54 10.2 78.8 329.2
OBerlin 2736 911 59 55 11.4 73 325.7
Saint Francis 3350 881 68 55 10.6 87.4 335.8
Hill City 2600 918 995.5 65 58 11.3 78 332
Concordia 1500 948 1000.5 65 59 11.4 73.1 329
Imperial 3300 885 994.6 55 53 9.8 73.2 324.6
OKC 1230 951 997 81 66 14.6 88.8 348.5
Chanute 1000 967 1001.6 74 61 12 79.1 334.6
Topeka 890
972 1003.7 64 58 10.7 68.2 324
Salina 1280 957 999.1 67 59 11.3 73.6 329
Emporia 1170 960 1001.5 72 61 12.1 78.2 334.3
Fairbury 1500 950 1003.0 55 54 9.5 62.6 317




Table 4
18 UTC Elev(ft) Pres.(mb) SLP(mb) T(F) Td(F) MR(g/kg) theta(F) theta-e(K)
Crystal Lakes 8620 723 43 43 8.2 91.7 331.4
Red Feather 8214 733 44 44 8.4 90.7 331.4
Harriman,WY 7450 755 987 47 47 9.2 89.3 332.7
Lynch,WY 7200 761 987 46 46 8.8 87 330.1
Virginia Dale 7 ENE
7000 766 987 48 48 9.4 88.1 332.7
Emkay,WY 6720 773 987 48 48 9.3 86.7 331.5
Cheyenne 6140 788 988.2 49 49 9.5 84.8 330.8
Nunn
5650 803 985 52 52 10.4 85.1 333.7
Greeley 4700 833 983 70 55 11.2 98.4 344.5
Akron 4700 840 989.7 57 56 11.5 83.4 335.9
Goodland 3700 870 990.7 64 59 12.4 85.2 339.7
MCcook 2800 911 996.2 61 56 10.6 75 328
Hill City 2600 918 994.3 73 62 13.1 86.2 342.4
Concordia 1500 948 1000.6 67 59 11.4 75.1 330.3
Imperial 3300 885 995.7 56 54 10.2 74.3 326.3
OKC 1230 951 996.2 86 67 15.1 93.9 353.4
Chanute 1000 967 1001.6 76 64 13.4 81.2 339.9
Topeka 890
972 1004.1 66 59 11.1 70.3 326.4
Salina 1280 957 998.6 73 61 12.1 79.7 335.4
Emporia 1170 960 1001.4 76 63 13.0 82.3 339.5




Table 5
19 UTC Elev(ft) Pres.(mb) SLP(mb) T(F) Td(F) MR(g/kg) theta(F) theta-e(K)
Harriman,WY 7450 754 985 47 47 9.3 89.7 333.3
Lynch,WY 7200 760 985 48 48 9.5 89.4 333.6
Virginia Dale 7 ENE
7000 765 985 48.5 48.5 9.6 88.9 333.7
Emkay,WY 6720 772 986 49 49 9.7 88.2 333.8
Cheyenne 6140 787 987.7 50 49 9.5 86 331.7
Nunn
5650 803 983 52.5 52.5 10.6 85,6 334.6
Wellington 5300 812 983 58 56 11.9 87.9 341.1
Briggsdale N 5039 826 988 56 54 10.0 84.9 335.1
Iliff 3900 865 988 55 54 10.4 76.8 328.5
Sterling 3900 865 59 56 11.2 80.9 333.4
Briggsdale S 4838 831 988 58 55 11.2 86.1 336.8
Greeley 4700 833 983 66 55 11.2 94.1 341.9
Akron 4700 840 990 56 55 11.1 82.3 334.1
Goodland 3700 870 990 69 61 13.4 90.4 345.8
MCcook 2800 911 996 61 57 11 75 329.2
Haigler 3291 883 60 56 11 78.8 331.4
OBerlin 2736 911 61 58 11.4 75 330.4
Saint Francis 3350 881 68 57 11.4 87.4 338.1
Hill City 2600 918 994 78 63 13.6 91.3 347.2
Kirwin 2300 930 996 68 62 12.9 79 337.3
Concordia 1500 948 1000 71 61 12.2 79.2 335.3
Imperial 3300 885 995.5 57 56 10.9 75.3 329.1
OKC 1230 951 996 87 67 15.1 94.9 354.1
Chanute 1000 967 1001.5 78 65 13.8 83.2 342.3
Topeka 890
972 1003.7 69 58 10.7 73.3 327.2
Salina 1280 957 998.0 74 62 12.6 80.7 337.3
Emporia 1170 960 1000.7 80 64 13.5 86.3 343.5
Fairbury 1500 950 1003.0 61 59 11.4 68.9 326.1
Superior 1600 945 1001 60 58 11 68.4 325
Scandia 1450 949 1001 69 61 12.2 77 333.9